13721074
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市场评论 – 黄金大放异彩,日元触发干预门槛
金价仍接近历史高位,涨势是否过度延伸? 日元徘徊在数十年低点,密切关注外汇干预 美元小幅走低,股市区间震荡,静待新西兰联储会议 黄金大放异彩 尽管债券收益率上升和美元走强带来压力,但作为全球最古老的避险资产,今年黄金仍持续上涨,涨幅超13%,连创历史新高。 为了减少对美元的依赖,各国央行的大量购买推动金价强劲上涨,其中以中国为首。中国消费者也掀起购买黄金狂潮,希望能在国内房地产和股市崩盘时获得保护。在不稳定的地缘政治环境下,避险资金流也开始发挥作用。 黄金的短期风险在于本轮涨势太高太快。动量震荡指标检测到极端超买状况,警告金价可能回调。 然而,除有些涨势延伸过度的迹象之外,基本面因素仍有利于黄
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US DOLLAR TO EMBARK ON A “BUMPY ROAD” – COMMERZBANK
The US Dollar (USD) lost ground after the Fed decision. Economists at Commerzbank analyze Greenback’s outlook. A rate cut for 2024 could still fall by the wayside, which would be Dollar-positive I don't think that much has changed in the end: June is moving back into focus as the first rate cut date
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DXY technical analysis: DXY under bearish pressure, bulls fail to recover 200-day SMA
The technical situation reflects the bears gaining ground. The indicator readings on the daily chart show the Relative Strength Index (RSI) maintaining a negative slope and existing in negative territory. Looking at the histogram of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), its rising red ba
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AUD/USD FINDS INTERIM SUPPORT NEAR 0.6500, US NFP IN FOCUS
AUD/USD finds an intermediate support near 0.6500 ahead of US ISM Manufacturing PMI data.The USD Index falls back despite the Fed pushing away rate-cuts expectations for March.Caixin Manufacturing PMI at 50.8 outperforms the consensus of 50.6. The AUD/USD pair finds bids near the crucial support of
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美联储转向的真正原因?美国12月财政赤字飙升50%,单季财政赤字超5000亿美元!
美国2024财年赤字飙升,付息压力创1996年以来新高,而这或是美联储提前降息的“深意”。 美国财政部当地时间11日公布的报告显示,美国联邦政府2024财年第一季度财政赤字超过5000亿美元,同比增长21%。其中12月赤字达1290亿美元,同比暴增52%。 赤字激增令美国政府债务总额首次超过34万亿美元,分析预测如果按照目前的速度发展下去,2024年的赤字将高于2万亿美元。 中金指出,高负债和2023年利率走高使得美国财政付息压力创1996年以来新高,而美联储意外转向的原因可能就在此,提前降息美国政府每年能节省超700亿美元利息。 12月财政赤字飙升50% 单季赤字超5000亿美元 美国财政部
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USD/JPY Bergerak Naik Menuju 149,00, Data AS Dipantau
Bagikan: USD/JPY terlihat mendekati level psikologis 149,00. BoJ sedang mempertimbangkan revisi ke atas estimasi inflasi inti untuk tahun fiskal 2023/24. Country Garden Tiongkok kemungkinan akan secara resmi gagal bayar kupon sebesar $15 juta. USD/JPY melanjutkan kenaikan di hari kedua berturut-turu
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GBP/JPY FLOUNDERING AS BOE LOOMS AHEAD, UK INTEREST RATES SET TO RISE ONCE MORE
The GB/JPY is flubbing trading on Monday, down near the day’s lows of 182.80. The early week sees inflation figures for the UK ahead of Thursday’s BoE rate call. The UK’s rates are expected to climb at least one more time in the current rate cycle. The GBP/JPY is pinned to the low end through Monday
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