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On the radar Producer prices in Romania went down by 2.4% m/m and up by 3.3% y/y in March. April’s inflation in Czechia was published at 1.8% y/y and 0.1% m/m. Tomorrow in the morning Hungary and Slovakia will publish retail sales while Czechia industrial output growth. Economic developments Accordi

How did we get here? NO DOLLAR HEDGE IN THIS STOCK MARKET SHOCK The dollar’s dominance has had rock-solid foundations since WWII: the largest economy, the largest importer of goods, the largest financial system, the first military. And for the first 26 years of that era, it was by law the reference

In focus todayIn the euro area, we focus on HICP inflation data for April. Country data showed slightly higher inflation in France, Germany, and Spain, while inflation was lower than expected in other countries such as Italy. Overall, we expect inflation to decline to 2.1% y/y from 2.2% y/y as expec

Hello fellow traders. In this technical article we’re going to look at the Elliott Wave charts of Dow Futures (YM_F) published in members area of the website. As our members know, YM_F is trading within the cycle from the 36635 low. Recently, we forecasted the end of the sho

Technical recession avoided, but still stuck in stagnation. This is the bottom line of Germany's just-released first quarter GDP data. According to the just-released first estimate, the German economy avoided a technical recession at the start of the year. In the first quarter of 2025, GDP growth ca

US Nonfarm Payrolls (Apr) – 02/05 – Even as the US economy continues to show some signs of a slowdown, it’s not becoming apparent in the labour market at the moment. The latest weekly jobless claims numbers have remained steady at around circa 220k with continuing claims at 1.84m. The March payrolls

USD: Jun '25 is Down at 99.110. Energies: Jun '25 Crude is Up at 63.06. Financials: The Jun '25 30 Year T-Bond is Higher by over 13 ticks and trading at 114.18. Indices: The Jun '25 S&P 500 emini ES contract is 30 ticks Lower and trading at 5396.00. Gold: The Jun'25 Gold contract is trading Up a

A strong belief in resilience or simply ignorance of the tariff extravaganza of the last few weeks? Whatever it is, German businesses look rather unimpressed by recent trade tensions - at least for now. Are German businesses just more relaxed than financial markets, or more naive? This is the questi

The euro is showing little movement on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1369, up 0.09% on the day. EUR/USD technical EUR/USD 4-hour Chart, April 18, 2025 ECB cuts rates by a quarter-point The ECB lowered its deposit facility rate on Thursday by a quarter-point, bring the rate

Oil ended the week up over 4%, continuing the rebound that began on 9 April following a strong rally due to tariff postponement. Prices managed to recover from 4-year lows by more than 16%, which is impressive and brings the market closer to bullish territory. However, the situation currently appear