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【2024年4月15日原油思路】 美油上周居高震荡盘旋,有调整迹象,但是有很反复,周五受伊朗表态要袭击以色列的影响,美油短线也拉升回弹再测87.7附近,但随后也出现大幅抛售,回撤至5、10日线86下方,周五日线也收得一带有长上影线的阴十字星。 日线结构上来看,美油短线行情是需要有一定的回修的,这在此前已经有过相关的分析和预判,更多的还是期待其进行时间上的修整,那么下方空间就不会很大,可着装关注20日线84附近。而随着伊朗袭击以色列后,基本面暂告段落,短期内美油借机震荡修整的可能性就更大,所以本周主思路还是先看回修,但并不期待大幅的回修。未来中东局势依然可能随时爆发新的危机,着重关注以色列的相关行为。 操作上,本周美油激进可先于10日线85.8-86附近轻仓短空,站稳86.5上方手动止损,而行情回撤84附近后,则再考虑多单的布局。#WTI.F# #XAU/USD#

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