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随着黄金再次“触底”1618附近,第三次的没有跌破,竟然有人开始鼓吹三底的形成。我只能说八字没有一撇呢。反而我们在技术分析层面应该看到图中淡蓝色画出的下降三角形已经成型,上下趋势线都已确认。情绪分析上,FOMC后,各类媒体鼓吹所谓“预期管理”,开始布局美联储政策转向,仿佛黄金底部已经到来。殊不知,这次11月这次的议息会议虽然从猛烈加息转变为持续温和加息,但是关键是强调维持高水平的限制性利率更长的时间,终端利率也从之前5%提升到5.5%左右。终端利率是黄金最大的软肋,零息资产黄金在长时间高水平的终端利率面前将毫无吸引力。

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