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非农前值37.2万,本期市场预期值25万,而失业率则前值3.6%此次预期值也是3.6%。根据市场的预期值来看本次非农数据是利多金银。不过笔者认为,此次数据公布实际值大于预期值的25万,在30万左右,但同时又小于前值的37.2万,那么就是实际值大于预期值利空金银,价格先跌,实际值小于前值后涨,节奏就是注意先跌后涨。小概率事件则是数据走两个极端,一个是大于37.2万,一个是小于25万,那么黄金则会大空下探回调或者大幅上涨走高,加大了调整走势和区间扩大。具体分析策略如下: 一、如公布实际值在30万左右,则利空金银,节奏先跌后涨。 策略1:日高欧盘依旧没有破位1795或数钱公布之前测试1800关口承压留意高空布局,下方看1783/1778。 策略2:数据公布后确认利空金银在预期数值内,则价格先跌1780/1773支撑留意低多机会,损6.5美金,目标破位1800看向1806/1815。 二、如公布实际值在25万以下,则利多金银,看大幅上涨后冲高回落收尾。 策略1:数据公布后大幅利多,则1795日高破位后顺势做多,损6.5美金,目标1803/1810/1820。 策略2:数据公布后大幅利多,首次触及1818/1823高空布局,损6.5美金,目标6/10美金。 策略3:数据公布大幅利多,老美洗盘击穿1780下方关注1773一线低多机会。

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