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【UF视角】上周五晚间在CPI爆表的情况下黄金狂拉50多美金,干死了一帮空头。今天一帮人又开始调转枪口开始在1865-60介入多单。对这样的情况我们不予置评。非农后我们指出在美联储利率决议之前,预期围绕1850上下20美金震荡的几率较大。本周四凌晨2点即将公布利率决议,预期在此之前金价依旧以窄幅震荡为主,难以走出方向。排除俄乌冲突的突发性外,在美联储连续加息的大背景下,金价多头难有大的作为,故多空均需谨慎。我们预判中期金价将以1850为中轴,上下80美金宽幅震荡为主,而且都是三步一回头,难以走出年初那样的大行情。

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