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英镑汇价持续巨震后暂归平静,更大暴风雨却可能随时来袭; ① 英镑兑美元在周二亚洲时段走势平稳,汇价在不大的区间内横盘震荡,波动幅度相比此前多个交易日显著缩窄。投资者正趁着市场难得平息下来的机会整理思路,迎接在英国脱欧谈判前景仍然未卜的状况下可能随时出现的新一波巨震行情; ② 日内,美国财政谈判前景存疑的局面对美元的拖累,抵消了欧洲疫情和英国脱欧谈判局面带来的影响,令欧系货币陷入盘整。但在周一及此前的多个交易日中,英镑汇价在日内动辄百余点的波动已经令投资者司空见惯。一方面,英欧谈判仍在进行中,并且就官员的表态看来希望犹存,但另一方面,机构却仍预测英国有高达40%概率会“硬脱欧”,这让市场情绪起伏不定; ③ 而大华银行分析师指出,隔夜冲高回落的走势显示英镑兑美元短线在脱欧谈判没有关键性进展的背景下,仍难上破1.3050关键阻力位,但下方在美国大选不确定性消退之前,仍将坚守住1.2850处的支撑位。短线波动虽然仍可能巨大,但却很难脱出已有的横盘箱体之外

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