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从3月份的经验来看,黄金随着股市下跌后,后续继续上升并创新高,因为经济宽松对黄金的利多影响是长期的,但不代表短期黄金不会遭到其他威胁,例如股市崩盘带来的流动性问题。市场担忧二次疫情爆发,特朗普担心疫情二次爆发会影响重启经济活动,从而影响自己的连任。既然美国经济活动开始缓慢重启,再度关闭需要很大决心,但不排除美股在预期的主导下出现恐慌性出逃,这个时候黄金就需要小心了,现阶段可观察美国疫情的发展,可能会再度成为主导市场行情的主要因素。技术图上,黄金下方重要支撑是日线布林带下轨1680和前低1670一线,如果可以保持在横盘区间上方,则当上破1750后将会打开新的上行空间,目标是1800。日内关注日线布林带中线1715,如果被下破黄金可能还要到1680去。#XAU/USD#

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原文:中国银行广东省分行 陈智辉 20200612—黄金联袂美股下跌 黄金还能避险吗

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