#XAU/USD# 美联储迫不及待地降息并量化宽松，使人们认识到形势严峻，黄金大幅反弹又下跌，这也符合逻辑。就是说，人们认为经济形势非常严峻，前景不是太好。但认真分析，这次与08年相比，经济金融形势没那么糟糕，黄金自高点回落15%应该是极限了。08年时金价自低点最高涨三倍，自最高点最多涨近一倍，这次考虑到货币供给量与08年时的变化，将金价预期调整到2500-4000应该是不过分吧？时间可能就在明后年。目前要观察多头主力希望砸到什么价位，他们也虎视眈眈，希望能在最低价建仓。我预期在1450左右。看市场实际走势吧。
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