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港股异动 | 内房股普遍回落 小摩指内房股抽升或只属短暂 地产销售仍待复苏

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受政策预期及增量资金影响,地产股昨日迎大涨行情,今日则普遍回落,截至发稿,万科企业(02202)跌7.27%,报4.59港元;融创中国(01918)跌6.21%,报1.36港元;世茂集团(00813)跌5.26%,报0.54港元;新城发展(01030)跌2.17%,报1.35港元。

消息面上,摩根大通发表报告称,内房股自4月中旬触底以来,该板块已累计反弹16%,跑赢MSCI中国指数(+7%),相信主要是资金流动所驱动。另外,随着成都取消了限购,南京放宽落户条件买房可直接落户。市场对一线城市将在5月放松限购的预期不断升温,也可能推动相关势头。

不过,摩根大通认为内房或股抽升或可能只属短暂的,从行业基本面来看,该行指4月份的销售情况比预期更差(与去年同期相比,4月份至今的销售额下降40%;与四年平均水平相比,本月至今的销售额下跌57%,这是近年来最差一个月)。该行认为,该行业的可持续反弹需要看到可持续的销售复苏、以及更强有力的政策应对。

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