Note

Oil outlook: Bears regain control as fears of conflict escalation fade

· Views 34

WTI

WTI oil price fell to the lowest in almost four weeks in early Monday, following a short-lived spike higher on Friday, sparked ty Israel’s attack on Iran.

The sentiment changed quickly to negative on fading signals of escalation of the conflict and traders shift focus to fundamentals, with rise in US crude inventories adding to demand concerns and deflating oil prices, along with stronger dollar on fading expectations for Fed rate cut.

Bears probed again through pivotal Fibo support at $81.42 (38.2% of $71.40/$87.61 upleg) but need to register a daily close below this level to validate negative signal.

Rising negative momentum on daily chart and double bear-cross (10/20DMA and 5/30 DMA) weigh on near-term action, with sustained break of $81.42 trigger to open way for attack at next key supports at $80.00/$79.80 zone (psychological / 200DMA and $79.50 (50% retracement).

Broken 30DMA ($82.94) should ideally cap and keep fresh bears intact, while acceleration and close above $84.00/20 zone (round figure / converged 10/20DMA’s) would neutralize near-term bears.

Res: 82.53; 82.94; 83.78; 84.20.
Sup: 81.42; 80.70; 80.00; 79.50.

Oil outlook: Bears regain control as fears of conflict escalation fade

Interested in WTI technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 89.11
    2. R2 87.32
    3. R1 84.69
  1. PP 82.9
    1. S1 80.27
    2. S2 78.48
    3. S3 75.84
See Full Study
Share: Analysis feed

Disclaimer: The content above represents only the views of the author or guest. It does not represent any views or positions of FOLLOWME and does not mean that FOLLOWME agrees with its statement or description, nor does it constitute any investment advice. For all actions taken by visitors based on information provided by the FOLLOWME community, the community does not assume any form of liability unless otherwise expressly promised in writing.

FOLLOWME Trading Community Website: https://www.followme.com

If you like, reward to support.
avatar

Hot

No comment on record. Start new comment.