大摩：予蒙牛乳业(02319)“增持”评级 目标价26港元
摩根士丹利发布报告称，予蒙牛乳业(02319)“增持”评级，目标价26港元。管理层对公司短期增长仍维持保守态度，公司早前预期2024财年的销售额将实现中至低单位数增长;核心营业利益率扩张30至50个基点;营业费用比率将略有增加;至于非营业收入应该与去年相若。
大摩指出，蒙牛年初至今的销售情况延续了去年下半年的情况，只呈现小幅度成长。至于库存则维持健康水平。该行同时指出，今年原料奶的供应过剩情况持续，原料奶价格将呈现下降趋势。不过蒙牛管理层预测原料奶价格的下行周期，最快将于2025年出现转变。此外，大摩认为蒙牛的资产负债率将维持低于60%。管理层亦曾表示随未来资本支出下降，未来或有更多的派息空间。
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