Fed: Three rate cuts in 2024, starting in June – Rabobank
The Fed is aiming for three rate cuts, in the view of economists at Rabobank.
The Fed will halt its cutting cycle during the course of 2025
March’s meeting strengthened our expectation that the FOMC will make three rate cuts this year. By stressing the other possible reason to cut, a weakening labor market, it is clear that the Fed is aiming for three rate cuts, either because of greater confidence that inflation is sustainably heading toward 2% or because unemployment rises.
Nevertheless, there remains a narrow path to the FOMC remaining on hold for longer. There is still a risk that the Committee starts its cutting cycle later than June. However, we continue to pencil in the first rate cut in June. Once started, we expect the Fed to continue with one cut of 25 bps per quarter until a rebound in inflation caused by a universal import tariff imposed by a new Trump administration will cause the Fed to halt its cutting cycle during the course of 2025.
Reprinted from FXStreet，the copyright all reserved by the original author.
Disclaimer: The content above represents only the views of the author or guest. It does not represent any views or positions of FOLLOWME and does not mean that FOLLOWME agrees with its statement or description, nor does it constitute any investment advice. For all actions taken by visitors based on information provided by the FOLLOWME community, the community does not assume any form of liability unless otherwise expressly promised in writing.
FOLLOWME Trading Community Website: https://www.followme.com
Hot
No comment on record. Start new comment.