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富瑞:予中国联通(00762)“买入”评级 目标价升至7.79港元

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富瑞发布报告称,予中国联通(00762)“买入”评级,将2024及2025年收入预测各调低1%。但假设2024-2026年派息比率各升至60%、65%及70%,因同业中电信(00728)及中国移动(00941)派息比率均为70%,目标价由7.24港元升至7.79港元。

富瑞指出,联通去年第四季弱,整体表现参差,其中第四季服务收入升3.6%,表现符合预期,但EBITDA则差过富瑞及市场预期,同比跌6.4%,主要因为人工成本较预期高,2023年资本开支739亿元人民币,少于联通原来指引,2024年资本开支指引650亿元人民币,同比减12%,亦少过富瑞预期,将派息比率升至55%,略高于富瑞的54%预期,相等于联通现市值中,约55%属净现金。

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