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小摩:维持远东宏信(03360)“增持”评级 目标价下调至8.9港元

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摩根大通发布报告称,维持远东宏信(03360)“增持”评级,下调2024和2025财年盈利预测3%和11%,不过公司一直努力提高股东回报,目标价从9.4港元下调5%至8.9港元。公司2023财年利润62亿元人民币,增长1%,基本符合其预期,收入势头弱于预期,但被信贷成本下降所抵消。每股派息0.5港元,派息比率31%(若当中不包括来自宏信建筑(03390)派息)。

报告中称,该公司在资产及工业运作复苏的支持下,信贷成本降低。管理层表示,尽管宏观前景仍存高度不确定性,但对未来12个月控制资产质素的信心更强,因此在释放超额储备金(excess reserves)方面有更大的灵活性,将信贷成本保持在相对较低的水平。不过,负面因素是,纯利率和投资组合小幅收缩,主要因资产负产表的杠杆率下降。而管理层预计,2024年纯利率降或不可避免。

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