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大摩:维持东方海外国际(00316)“减持”评级 目标价调低至75港元

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大摩发布报告称,尽管东方海外国际(00316)股息率较为吸引,但对行业周期持保守态度,因此依旧维持“减持”评级,目标价从77.2港元调低3%至75港元。

该行指出,考虑到该公司较低的利率和销售假设,对2023-2025年的利润预测分别下调24%、5%和15%。主要由于运费及运量预测下调,预计2023年盈利同比减84%,2024年同比减13%,2025年再同比减13%。

此外,大摩提高对公司派息比率的预计,预计将在2023-2025年派息比率70%,与2021-2022年类似。然而,考虑到新船的潜在资本支出,但也看到派息比率预测未来有下行风险。鉴于保守的货柜海运前景,管理层或决定降低派息比率。

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