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小摩:相信覆盖燃气商利润率及销量都有上升空间 行业首选华润燃气(01193)

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小摩发布报告称,亚洲区内液化天然气(LNG)价格自2022年中的高位累计下跌超过80%,相信旗下覆盖的燃气商利润率及销量都有上升空间,因可以采购更廉价的现货LNG,对提升工业用气需求有利。

该行估计,若LNG现货价格自次季起达到每立方厘米2至2.5元人民币,则在国内部分省份LNG将较管道天然气更具价格竞争力,考虑到华润燃气(01193)对LNG价格下降敏感度最高,将其列为行业首选,并纳入积极催化剂观察名单,评级“增持”,预期润燃即将公布的业绩及经营指引可能超出市场预期。

此外,小摩在燃气股中也看好香港中华煤气(00003)、新奥能源(02688)及新奥股份(600803.SH)。由于昆仑能源(00135)过去一年股价表现强劲,预测股息潜在上升空间可能已反映在股价表现上,摩通建议投资者先行获利离场,将其评级下调至“中性”。

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