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港股异动 | 中国有色矿业(01258)涨超4% 低库存叠加降息预期支撑铜价高位运行

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中国有色矿业(01258)涨超4%,截至发稿,涨3.89%,报5.07港元,成交额916.79万港元。

消息面上,矿业大亨Friedland预测,今年铜价将升至每吨9500美元,然后降至每吨7500美元,其补充称,这种下跌将是短暂的。Friedland表示,预计随着美联储考虑降息和亚洲一些国家的经济提速,对关键金属的需求将会增加。关键采矿业务的一系列重大挫折预计也将在未来一年收紧金属市场,从而消除分析师此前预计将持续到2024年的大量过剩。他指出,铜现货市场非常、非常紧张。由于美联储可能降息,以美元计的铜价可能会大幅上涨。

华福证券认为,短期低库存支撑铜价高位运行;中期,美联储降息确定性强,美元下跌利好铜价,第一量子和英美资源矿端减产将使24年铜供需转为短缺,支撑铜价上移。长期看,新能源需求强劲将带动供需缺口拉大,铜价有望迎来新涨势。高盛表示,在未来12个月的基础上,继续将铜的目标价格定为1万美元/吨。

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