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富瑞:维持华润啤酒(00291)“买入”评级 目标价降至44.5港元

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富瑞发布报告称,预计华润啤酒(00291)2023下半年纯利同比跌56%至2.39亿元(人民币.下同),销售额升5%。该行将目标价由64.6港元下调31%至44.5港元;基于潜在的上行空间,维持“买入”评级。

报告指,预期集团2023下半年啤酒业务销售额达140亿元,同比跌1.7%,产量跌5%,主要由于高基数效应及消费环境疲弱。期内出现两极化情况,高端品牌和大众品牌均做好。料平均售价升3.8%,经常性EBIT同比增3%至3.52亿元,带动全年增18%至66.5亿元。

展望2024年,基于目前的市场环境,该行认为两极化情况将持续,料销售额同比升4.5%,整体产量持平,当中次高端及以上的品牌产量则升17%;料平均售价升4.4%。白酒业务方面,该行料2024年销售额将增长20%。

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