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港股异动 | 啤酒股延续跌势 12月数据表现相对平淡 中低端产品拖累总量

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啤酒股延续跌势,截至发稿,华润啤酒(00291)跌3.28%,报29.5港元;青岛啤酒股份(00168)跌2.5%,报48.7港元;百威亚太(01876)跌1.74%,报13.52港元。

国金证券指出,上周啤酒板块大跌的催化因素系:12月数据表现相对平淡、资金面扰动。12月低基数但表现平淡,该行认为:1)春节滞后导致备货节奏后移,各公司正在去库存、蓄力来年开门红;2)多地天气差;3)整体结构超预期,拖累总量的主要在中低端产品。

该行重申,经济环境底部、供给端升级+提效共识不变、需求端追求更高性价比的高质产品。啤酒5-12元以餐饮场景为主、价格敏感度低、厂家掌控力强,故升级韧性足。23Q4减亏是大概率事件,24年对应利润端增速在15-20%,已逐步进入价值投资区间。

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