港股异动 | 科网股早盘普跌 恒科指数跌近2% 市场减少对主要央行今年大幅降息的押注
科网股早盘普跌，恒生科技指数跌近2%。截至发稿，阿里巴巴-SW(09988)跌2.48%，报72.85港元；腾讯(00700)跌1.42%，报292.4港元；阅文集团(00772)跌1.24%，报27.9港元。
消息面上，全球政府债券新年开盘谨慎，因交易员减少了对主要央行今年大幅降息的押注。交易员们押注欧洲央行今年将降息158个基点，较上周减少约10个基点。在美国，货币市场对美联储2024年宽松政策的定价自去年12月21日以来首次短暂低于150个基点。
据CME“美联储观察”，美联储2月维持利率在5.25%-5.50%区间不变的概率为87.1%，降息25个基点的概率为12.9%。到明年3月维持利率不变的概率为20.9%，累计降息25个基点的概率为69.3%，累计降息50个基点的概率为9.8%。
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