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高盛:予申洲国际(02313)“买入”评级 目标价降至98港元

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高盛发布报告称,予申洲国际(02313)“买入”评级,与中国相比,公司在海外市场目前的实际税率仍处于较低水平,管理层目前仍在等待更多有关措施的实施细节及观察实际影响,目标价从100港元降至98港元。越南议会投票通过将对跨国企业征收的税率提高至15%,自2024年起生效,在高盛监察的OEM生产商预料申洲国际将受到潜在影响。

报告中称,申洲在越南的产量占比约为27%,而今年柬埔寨产量占比料达到28%,高盛提醒,柬埔寨也是OECD国家之一,但目前尚未宣布对其企业实际税率拟作出任何调整,而过往申洲在该两国的实际税率为0%至5%,预测今年在越南实际税率仍为5%,即公司今年整体实际税率为11%,相比之下,该行覆盖的其他OEM生产商实际税率超过20%。此外,高盛将申洲2024至2025年有效税率预测上调至13.5%至13.7%,当中已假设来自越南的税率从5%提升至15%,导致2024至2025年纯利预测下调约2%。

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