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高盛:普遍微降內银股目标价 维持建设银行(00939)“买入”评級

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高盛发布报告称,维持建设银行(00939)及宁波银行(002142.SZ)“买入”评级,主要因为两者的资产负债表强劲,以及第三季业绩好过同业。在该行覆盖的12间银行中,只有3间提早建立较多拨备及加强资产负债表,分别为中国银行(03988) 、兴业银行(601166.SH) 及南京银行(601009.SH) 。

报告中称,内银股第三季纯利同比只是持平,对比今年第二季同比增长7%、去年同期也增长13%,主要因为零售银行业务增长疲弱、房地产信贷及地方政府债面对风险,拨备前盈利增长差过预期,回拨也有限,因此内银第三季业绩差过该行及市场预期,估计第三季业绩期后,市场会下调预测。

该行预计,内银板块未来净息差持续受压,流动性收紧将会限制投资收入增长,不过政府债的发行额增加,有助缓和银行的资本压力。该行将今年至2025年期间,内银的拨备前盈利及纯利预测,平均分别下调1%及2%,并普遍微降内银股目标价。

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