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富瑞:下调申洲国际(02313)评级至“持有” 目标价降至80港元

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富瑞发布报告称,美国服装行业受宏观经济及暖冬预期影响,今年冬季需求放缓,据库存数据显示,美国服装行业未有进行库存补货,估计申洲国际(02313)第四季产量可能开始未达预期,订单放缓也削弱利润率预测,主因产能使用率及营运杠杆减低。在申洲估值偏高下,将评级由“买入”下调至“持有”,目标价由88港元下调至80港元。

该行指出,美国失业率见18个月新高,消费者削减非必需品的开支,另资金成本上升,令品牌及分销商投资库存的欲望减低。中国内地方面,申洲的主要客户,短期内继续清理库存。在内地销售的品牌,自今年第二季起已面对需求未达预期的挑战,该行的调查反映,申洲内地主要客户明年上半年的订单,同比温和增长5%至10%。

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