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招商证券:维持百胜中国(09987)“增持”评级 目标价降至452港元

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招商证券发布报告称,维持百胜中国(09987)“增持”评级,由于预期利润率下调等,将2023至25财年的每股盈测下调6%/9.2%/7.9%,目标价由552.3港元降至452港元。

报告中称,公司第三季收入同比增9%至29.14亿美元,剔除汇兑影响的收入同比增15%。自营餐厅收入为27.59亿美元,同比增8%。经营利润同比增2%至3.23亿美元,净利润增18%至2.44亿美元。该行预计公司从2023至25财年的内生每股盈利复合件增长率为26%。

该行提到,集团整体系统流水同比增15%,而同店销售增长为4%。肯德基及必胜客的均价同比分别跌5%及9%,主要是因为促销活动增加、外卖占销售的比例较堂食低,及疫后早餐订单反弹,而堂食订单和早餐订单通常都是较小的订单。虽然集团今年第三季单价同比下降,但仍高于2019财年水平。另外,今年第三季餐厅利润率为17%,同比减少1.8个百分点,较该行预测低0.4个百分点。不过,该行料集团第四季的餐厅利润率将取得同比增长。

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