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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears looking for monthly weekly and daily bearish confluence

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  • AUD/JPY is an attractive short below the daily structure.
  • Currently, the stars do not quite align across all time frames from a top-down market structure analysis. 

The Monthly is bearish and is looking as though it wants to form a head and shoulders.

The weekly is proving that there is resistance that first needs to hold the bullish commitments at this juncture.

The daily chart has a strong bullish bias while holding above a strong support structure along with the ascending trendline support.

Monthly chart

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears looking for monthly weekly and daily bearish confluence

The above chart shows a potential reversal head and shoulders pattern in the making, offering downside target opportunities for the bears. 

Weekly chart

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears looking for monthly weekly and daily bearish confluence

The weekly chart is showing that the bulls are trying for a second attempt a the resistance. Should they fail, the prospects for the head and shoulders are sound.

Daily chart

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears looking for monthly weekly and daily bearish confluence

The daily support structure is a confluence of higher lows, the support trendline and a restest of the structure which confirms a bullish bias.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears looking for monthly weekly and daily bearish confluence

However, should the same confluence breakdown, then bears will be looking to take over in the barroom brawl zone and a shorting opportunity on a retest of broken support structure turned resistance. 

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Hey - any personal thoughts to support a bearish prediction to this pairing? I have been gearing up for a more bullish stance, in view of the hawkish sentiment from RBA - but open for any other viewpoints...

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