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Gold Price Analysis: Bull flag or rising wedge breakdown?

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  • Gold's 4-hour chart shows a rising wedge and a bull flag pattern. 
  • The S&P 500 futures are flashing green and signaling a risk-on environment. 
  • The yellow metal could witness a rising wedge breakdown.

Gold's 4-hour chart is reporting conflicting price patterns. 

To start with, the pullback from the April 14 high of $1,747 to $1,700 (Friday's Asian session low) has taken the shape of a bull flag, a pause which usually accelerates the preceding bullish move. 

A move above the top end of the flag at $1,738 would confirm the breakout and open the doors for a convincing move above $1,750. 

Further, the metal is also teasing a rising wedge breakdown, a bearish reversal pattern. The breakdown would be confirmed if the current 4-hour candle closes under $1,717. That would imply an end of the rally from $1,455 and would shift the focus to the immediate support at $1,642 (higher low created on April 8). 

With the S&P 500 futures reporting over 3 percent gains at press time, a rising wedge breakdown looks likely. Risk assets are better bid in Asia, possibly on STAT news report that Gilead Sciences' experimental drug remdesivir is seeing rapid recoveries in fever and respiratory symptoms associated with coronavirus. 

The yellow metal is trading at $1,713 per ounce at press time, representing a 0.26% drop on the day. 

4-hour chart

Gold Price Analysis: Bull flag or rising wedge breakdown?

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1713.56
Today Daily Change -3.44
Today Daily Change % -0.20
Today daily open 1717
Trends
Daily SMA20 1628.09
Daily SMA50 1611.5
Daily SMA100 1566.76
Daily SMA200 1525.36
Levels
Previous Daily High 1739
Previous Daily Low 1708.46
Previous Weekly High 1690.42
Previous Weekly Low 1609.15
Previous Monthly High 1703.27
Previous Monthly Low 1451.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1727.33
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1720.13
Daily Pivot Point S1 1703.97
Daily Pivot Point S2 1690.95
Daily Pivot Point S3 1673.43
Daily Pivot Point R1 1734.51
Daily Pivot Point R2 1752.03
Daily Pivot Point R3 1765.05

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