今晚美国 6 月非农就业报告将成为美元兑日元的关键催化剂。市场预期新增就业11万，失业率4.3%。结合周三ADP和ISM的疲软表现，非农面临下行风险。
此外，日本财务省是否会在数据发布后出手干预，是另一个重大变量。G7"汇率应反映基本面"的共识意味着：若非农强劲，财务省在基本面支持美元走强的背景下干预将缺乏正当性；若数据疲软，美元走弱与基本面一致，财务省顺势介入的战术价值将大幅提升。
Edited 03 Jul 2026, 12:34
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