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技术分析 – NZDUSD自五个月低点反弹

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技术分析 – NZDUSD自五个月低点反弹


  • NZDUSD在下行通道内强劲下跌
  • 下跌至11月以来最低水平,随后收复部分跌幅
  • 震荡指标仍处看跌区间


NZDUSD自3月初挑战0.6217区间两度遇阻后,就一直处于强劲下降趋势中。上周,虽然该货币对创下了五个月新低0.5851,但目前似乎已止跌。


鉴于相对强弱指数(RSI)和异同移动平均线(MACD)指标仍倾向下行,汇价或重新测试斐波那契回调线78.6%位置(对应图中0.5772-0.6380)的价格0.5899。跌破此处,或测试0.5858-0.5851区间,该区间包括近期五个月低点和9月-11月的支撑位。进一步下跌,或在2023年低点0.5772处止跌。


反之,若汇价反转上涨,或会在前期高点0.5940遇阻。进一步上涨,或挑战斐波那契 61.8%位置的价格0.5998。突破此处,2月支撑区间0.6037可能转为阻力区间,多头将测试此处。


综上所述,NZDUSD强劲下跌至五个月新低,但在达到超卖条件后尝试收复部分跌幅。然而,由于短期风险仍倾向下行,汇价或会持续下跌。


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