美国CPI数据就在今晚！黄金该如何布局🤔
【基本面】小摩公布2024年的全球市场展望，预期经济放缓、货币宽松，市场面临将多重挑战。经济学家们预计，限制性货币政策将继续在明年给予全球经济压力，小部份国家可能出现轻微衰退，固定收益资产存在机会，总体策略依旧是防御性。此外瑞银预测美联储明年降息275基点，是市场共识的4倍。整体而论，考量多数机构预期明年经济有所放缓，美联储货币政策可能迎来宽松，故黄金以偏多布局为主要思路。
【技术面】观察黄金日线图，黄金昨日向下插针至1921美元，此价格恰好为10月6日与10月31日连线的斐波那契0.382回调位，有效触发多头流动性，这或将使黄金此前的下降趋势有所反转。副指标方面，MACD负值柱状体仍属强劲加上KD快线微微上弯，这都隐含短线有反转可能。整体而论，考量基本面因素(美债收益率有所回调 & 美汇指数走势趋于震荡)，叠加技术面出现反转信号，故建议投资者以偏多布局为主要思路。
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