技术分析 – GBPUSD反弹疲软
- GBPUSD自7月中旬以来一直大幅下跌
- 自七个月低点反弹，但未能实现小幅复苏
- 完成死亡交叉或将引发下行压力
GBPUSD在16个月高点1.3141遇阻后，转为下行走势。同时，短期内相对强弱指数（RSI）和随机震荡指标均倾于看跌，打破多头持续反弹希望。
若汇价恢复下行趋势，则前期低点1.2121可能初步提供支撑。若成功跌破此处，汇价或将触及七个月低点1.2036。继续下行，该货币对可能跌至3月低点1.1800。
反之，若多头重新出现并推高汇价，则前期高点1.2336可能初步形成阻力。若成功突破此处，该货币对或将测试12月至1月阻力位1.2445，即与50日和200日移动平均线（SMA）重叠之处。继续上行，涨势或将止于曾在8月充当支撑位的4月高点1.2547。
简而言之，GBPUSD试图阻止下跌趋势，但复苏进度步履蹒跚。多头能否成功反弹仍有待观察。
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