EURUSD在7月18日触及18个月高点1.1275后,随即创下一系列较低高点和较低低点,目前维持下跌模式。同时,该货币对已跌破200日移动平均线(SMA),技术前景进一步恶化。
目前动量指标表明,看跌力量强劲。相对强弱指数(RSI)低于50中立水平,而随机指标跌至20超卖水平。
若汇价跌破200日移动平均线(SMA),则前期低点1.0765可能初步提供支撑。若成功跌破此处,汇价可能跌至5月低点1.0633。继续下行,该货币对可能挑战3月低点1.0515。
反之,若该货币对反转走高,多头可能测试前期高点1.0944,即与一目均衡图下轨重叠之处。若成功突破此处,该货币对可能挑战2月高点1.1032。继续上行,或需密切关注4月曾三次抑制涨势的前期高点1.1094。
简而言之,EURUSD似乎陷入下行趋势,该货币对需重新突破200日移动平均线(SMA), 方能改变看跌情绪
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