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2022.1.20

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黄金短期内出现了比较大的变化,实际利率一度往上抬,但是黄金并不跟随,在美债上冲回落之际,黄金出现了小幅度的上攻,打掉了两个关键止损


标的观察:T10Y T05Y继续回落,其中T10Y已经到了关键的支撑位子,实际利率继续往上抬,金银比回到76(比值与通胀预期背离)名义利率小幅度回落,波动率小幅度上抬


技术图形上,黄金短期回到上行通道内,上方上沿和关键压制位是重合的,D1 和H1重合


策略上:由于D1区间过大,短期内没办法进场,做能采取左侧摸单的方式,控制好仓位,等待关键信号的出现





原油继续新高后,开始在顶部做修正,小周期一度从H3修复到H1在早间H1破位且伴随着D2级别的破位,若行情再继续打高点,则D1和H1级别重合,关键位子就会出现,采取和黄金一样的策略,相对高位控制风险去试仓




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