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Doo Prime 德璞资本汇评|负利率前景进一步消退,英镑大涨创三年新高

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基本面分析


周四(2月18日),Doo Prime MT4数据显示英镑兑美元大涨0.85%至1.3975,创近三年新高,因英国央行负利率前景进一步消退。


英国央行委员桑德斯称,现在降低利率的空间有限,且英国的就业补助计划帮助限制了失业率。德璞资本认为,英国不太可能实施负利率。英国近期公布的数据比预期的更为强劲,而且似乎有可能避免技术性衰衰退。


不过英国智库决议基金会周四发布的数据显示,疫情对于英国就业市场和民众收入造成严重冲击,仍有约200万人在过去六个月没有工作。


政府指引显示英国将逐步放松封锁限制,尽管有可能出现由消费者带动的反弹,但短期信心不足可能会使英镑兑美元陷于区间交投。


技术面分析

英镑/美元

从大周期以及整体结构看,英镑依然处于底部抬升破前高的上涨延续阶段,上涨通道完好,上涨结构并未破坏,并未出现很明显的力度承压,但出现了明显的底部力度支撑,表明短期见顶可能性不大,出现力度上涨日波幅。大方向依然看涨,需注意高位承压的继续震荡和深度调整。

昨日在出现支撑后,加上基本面一直利多,英镑得到共振后再次启动强势上涨,且如破前高,在未出现明显力度承压之前继续保持低多思路及多单的持仓。


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英镑/美元走势图

低多思路:待价格回落至1.3925附近支撑可试多,如直接试探1.390附近支撑可试多,博回测确认支撑的延续上涨日波幅。

做空思路:待价格上冲至1.3425附近承压可试空,如直接试探1.3955附近承压可试空,博高点承压回调波幅(毕竟高空是逆势,如承压性强则博高空,承压性一般则观望)。


德璞资本提醒以上策略仅代表分析师观点,仅供参考,不作为或视为任何交易的依据或邀请,不构成对任何人的投资建议。Doo Prime 不能保证此报告的准确性或完整性,不对因使用此报告而引起的损失负任何责任,您不能依赖此报告以取代自己的独立判断。市场有风险,投资需谨慎。#USDollarWeakness##Dooprime##FX##trading##Japanesesharesrise##GameStop#

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