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空单被套

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日线昨日收盘阴,不过,今天截至目前都收复回来了。指标上没有多大的变化,kd依旧死叉看回落,趋势线指标还是多头,唯一的变化是MA5下穿了MA10,但是,两者的指向并非一致的,MA10是逐渐走高,MA5是逐渐走低的,目前是MA10反压黄金。因为我持仓有空单,暂时没打算跑。主要是超买的周期比较多,且发生在白天,个人觉得持续性会差点,我需要找个机会出来,不管是价格还是指标需要其中一个回落下来再走。


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15点4小时收盘可能会导致本轮空头就失效了,这里会产生和日线一致的方向,虽然日线本身也存在一定的矛盾。但是,相对来说,跟着4小时的胜率还是比较高的。


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从kd看4小时也是利于继续往上走走,不过上面的阻力带还是比较清晰的,1840小坎儿,大的主要是看1845-1848


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小时线及更小的周期基本上都出现了超买,如果后续走势是通过指标回落而价格盘整不跌的模式,那么晚上就会冲击1845,要是4小时收盘站稳基本上就会重新冲击高点1870一带了。重点关注晚上7点的状态吧,要动手就是介于7-11点的美盘阶段了。


昨晚扫了一圈相关品种:白银、原油、美元。个人观点是:美元处于一个将要反转的底部,逻辑可能是没啥更多的利空刺激了,指标上有出现不少缺口的,且超卖非常严重。另外,原油这边估计要回撤下来的,连续上涨不回头是不合理的。不过,这货比较抽风,今年就在原油身上吃了亏。近期的美元和黄金原油的相关性都比较弱,但是也不是一个正常的现象,总有一个是错的。

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