20201015-交易趋势观察
黄金和白银是属于市场上最受追捧的贵金属投资产品之二，在现行疫情背景下，货币宽松及财政刺激下今年已经大幅度上涨；时至今日，各国经济下滑幅度并没有政府之前预料之严重，但近期复苏态势已明显放缓，于此同时，主要国家政府纠结担心于财政负担过重和前期财政刺激效果结束后经济复苏能力能否恢复正常，因此大规模的财政刺激已经变得愈发困难。同时通胀水平也很难达到前期水平，在缺少此类刺激情况下，股市和贵金属上涨趋势势必会受到影响。依此，预计今年内黄金短期已初步见顶，很难再突破新高。白银收益于实物工业需求逐步恢复，仍会受到支撑，因此更看好白银前景，预期金银比会进一步下降。
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