风与叶子51352503

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Vàng bứt phá và tăng lên quanh khu vực $2,300 sau khi báo cáo PMI dịch vụ của Hoa Kỳ thấp hơn so với dự kiến.

Short covering lent some support to the US treasury market on Tuesday and yields are maintaining a slightly lower profile ahead of today’s FOMC meeting. Economists at Rabobank discuss the upcoming Fed decision. EUR/USD at risk of dipping back to 1.0700 in the weeks ahead While we recognise the risk

EUR/GBP finds support near 0.8500; more downside seems likely on upbeat UK Employment data.The expectations of BoE rate cuts remain lower as the UK’s wage growth remains higher than expectations.Eurozone’s ZEW Survey Economic Sentiment improves surprisingly for February. The EUR/GBP pair discovers a

The XAG/USD declined to its lowest level since mid-November near $22.20.Markets are repricing their bets on the Fed, and the odds of cuts in March decline.Despite recovery signals from four-hour chart indicators, the prevailing bearish trend keeps the bulls at bay with the pair positioned under key

1月2日（周二）亚洲时段，目前黄金价格交投于2061美元/盎司附近。 俄乌冲突和中东紧张局势依然给金价提高避险支撑。市场仍普遍预计美联储今年3月份会降息，尽管隔夜没有探底回升，但仍比较弱势，偏向利多金价。 黄金技术面也显示金价仍有进一步冲高机会。 技术分析上，目前的金价走势位于21均线（日线）上方，下方明显短线支撑位于21均线（日线）2038附近一线。有做多计划的投资者建议可以等黄金价格回调该支撑位后再找机会进场，目标价位是2058。 阻力：2081.00；2088.32；2100.00 支撑：2067.36；2061.33；2047.75

12月18日（周一）亚洲时段，美国原油价格现交投于71.61美元/桶附近。 美联储意外鸽派，美元持续走弱，美股持续走高，支撑油价；市场对欧洲央行和英国央行明年的降息预期也有所升温，需求前景预期有所改善。IEA在月报中上调需求预期，给多头提供信心。中国11月工业同比增速创逾一年半高位，消费同比增速创半年高点，利多油价。 油价在5-6月震荡区间底部支撑附近企稳反弹，吸引逢低买盘。 上方明显短线压力位于21均线（日线）73.33附近一线。有做多计划的投资者建议可以等美油价格上破该压力位后再找机会进场，目标价位是74.33。 阻力：72.43；7

根据统计，在政策平稳且没有突发外围风险的情况下，A股岁末年初爆发行情（岁末+年初+岁末年初三种情况）的可能性较大，近十年仅16年没有岁末年初行情（主要是因为推出熔断措施）。在岁末爆发行情和年初爆发行情的概率基本上相当（岁末+年初均有行情主要是2012-2013年、2014-2015年,2022-2023年），主要是依据当时市场的核心矛盾是否出现改善来判断。一般而言，岁末年初行情中稳增长政策预期扮演重要促发作用，行情体现为价值搭台、成长唱戏的特征。具体而言： 1、2011岁末-2012年年初：年末加息叠加主权信用危机重挫股市，2012年初稳增长预期带动市场反弹，呈现价值搭台、成长唱戏。 2、20