总而言之，我们预计美国非农就业人数为 21 万，这意味着我们预计今天的数据不会削弱美元的看跌势头，因为市场可能会完全将 9 月份的降息视为价格因素，并保持短期美元利率上限。CFTC 数据显示，美元相对于报告的 G10 货币的净投机头寸占未平仓合约的 24%，为 2019 年 6 月以来最高，因此，如果美国数据在未来几周走软，美元进一步多头挤压的空间仍然很大。
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