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据CME FedWatch,美联储5月降息25个基点的概率为2.5%;美联储到6月维持利率不变的概率为88.2%,累计降息25个基点和50个基点的概率分别为11.5%、0.2%;美联储到7月份维持利率不变的概率为74.6%,累计降息25个基点和50个基点的概率分别为23.4%、2%;美联储到9月维持利率不变的概率为41.8%,累计降息25个基点、50个基点和75个基点的概率分别为45.9%、11.4%、0.9%。

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