多头更有利的是，渣打银行预测全球石油需求将在5月和6月强劲回升，5月首次超过1.03亿桶/天，6月进一步增加至1.0382亿桶/天。
大宗商品专家预测，5月份全球库存将减少153万桶/天，6月份将减少169万桶/天，这将大大收紧现货价差。渣打银行还表示，尽管在不增加库存的情况下，OPEC第三季度至少有100万桶/天的额外产量空间，但由于油价上涨停滞，OPEC近期不太可能增产。
距离下一次重要的部长级会议只有六周的时间，对需求和宏观经济环境的担忧可能会主导这次会议。渣打银行表示，如果OPEC产量不增加，第三季度的库存可能会减少160万桶/天，这加剧了2024年上半年减少110万桶/天的价格效应。
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