美元： 高位盘整
美元在经历了上周的上行后已回到盘整模式。周五公布的 3 月份核心 PCE 平减指数仍是本周最大的数据，将决定美国短期收益率是否需要进一步上升。事实上，在危险的地缘政治背景下，许多投资者可能会发现美国两年期国债收益率在 5%的水平上非常有吸引力。
就今天而言，我们怀疑美国 4 月 PMI 或新屋销售数据会对美元产生很大影响。而且，从边际上看，可能是日本大规模外汇干预的威胁阻止了投资者向已经拥挤不堪的美元多头头寸增持美元。
DXY 将在 105.40-106.00 区间盘整，但看涨倾向依然不能除外。
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