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经济学家表示,稳健的经济活动加上顽固的通胀将迫使美联储推迟宽松周期的开始。市场已经消化了6月份可能降息的可能性。 然而,尽管降息似乎陷入停滞,但国际货币基金组织表示,他们仍然预计今年利率会下降。一些分析师表示,美联储最终将降息的预期继续支撑金价。 国际货币基金组织表示:“由于通胀预计将继续下降,接近目标,且长期通胀预期仍然稳定,主要发达经济体央行的政策利率预计将在2024年下半年开始下降。” 其他方面,由于3月份住宅建设减弱幅度超过预期,美国房地产市场继续陷入困境。

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