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欧元区经济陷入困境,全球贸易放缓导致出口需求下降,德国制造业收缩,经济增长几乎停滞。虽然这一情况有助于缓解通胀压力,但3月通胀率降至2.4%,促使欧洲央行考虑降息。预期6月可能实施降息的预期已在货币市场蔓延。因此,欧洲央行可能将本周会议作为降息预告的平台,并强调降息有助于降低经济衰退风险。 欧洲央行可能会将本周四的会议作为跳板,为夏季降息做准备。拉加德可能会强调在通胀方面取得的进展,并辩称,尽快降息将有助于将经济衰退的风险降至最低。

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