#XAU/USD# 悟道认为牛市到顶、长线空2300布局目标300$+
基本面看黄金虽然持续破历史新高、不过【量】没有跟上、多头明显乏力、惊弓之鸟、且伴随着大的回调；
消息面看美联储降息+地缘政治带来的上涨基本消化完毕
周期性看黄金2024年开年到现在单边上涨超过320$、光3月份就拉了200$、结合历史周期性看、相对去年最低1805已经上涨500$、相对年初1985已经超过300$、2300都是一个大的关口；
本周非农前将会是多头最后的一舞；悟道基本判定2300上方是绝佳做空机会、长线目标下方逐步看2235/2150/2085、如果站稳2080则黄金可能后市将会在2000上方保证震荡
如果进一步破位先看2000下方、若要更低则需要降息正式开始卖实时成立
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