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基本面上,本周数据显示因生产大幅反弹,需求走强,同时投入成本攀升。美国3月ISM制造业PMI上升2.5至50.3。尽管仅略高于50的荣枯线,但该指数止住了连续16个月萎缩的势头。同时也超出了机构对经济学家调查的所有预期。以及美国的采购和供应管理高管最近表达了乐观情绪。对于美元产生了较强的利好前景,也减弱了6月降息概率,限制了金价多头力量;   不过,上周的通知数据超预期的降低,则加强了对于美联储6月降息的概率,故此,周初的利空压力,也难以对金价产生明显的走低行情,所以,短线的回撤走低行情,都将难以持续,走势还是以震荡或偏强为主去对待。

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