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KCM Trade ——黄金原油行情分析 2024年03月22日 美元指数超跌反弹,虽然美联储鸽派提振降息预期,但是美元并未跌破箱体下沿,短期修正之后维持箱体震荡,等待基本面进一步的变化,继续关注美债收益率是否同步反弹,金价方面冲高回落,短期结构维持多头运行,目前属于超买之后的修正,若维持在箱体下沿附近盘整,则等待企稳之后的低吸机会,美原油方面短期维持震荡回落,但已经突破箱体,因此等待低吸机会为主,继续关注大宗商品的联动机会 XAUUSD 黄金 黄金冲高回落,目前并未跌破中走线支撑,虽然美联储降息预期升温,叠加美联储主席鲍威尔鸽派言论,但美元指数超跌反弹,施压金价,同时短期已经进入超买区间,等待修正之后的低吸机会为主,日线级别多空分水岭2160,跌破则测试2140附近下沿支撑,上方压力2200美元附近 ‍ USOIL 美原油 美原油三连阴回踩箱体支撑,基本面上大宗商品调整,美元反弹,但需求预期尚未出现明确的变化,因此维持震荡上行对待,等待支撑确认之后的低吸机会,日线级别多空分水岭80美元附近,上方压力85美元 ‍ ‍

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