近期，美国“抗通胀”进程意外颠簸，下周，美国将迎来包括第四季度实际GDP修正值以及1月PCE在内的关键经济数据，若美国经济重新加速且通胀粘性依旧，那么美联储将再次失去降息的理由。
2月23日，多位美联储官员齐“放鹰”，警告市场通胀需进一步回落，过快降息将让抗通胀的努力前功尽弃。高盛更是在一个月内两度推迟对美联储开启降息周期的时间表。在最新报告中，高盛分析师将美联储首次降息时间的预期从5月份推迟到6月份，同时减少预期降息次数，预计今年将有4次降息，分别在6月、7月、9月和12月，而此前预测FOMC将在2024年降息5次。道指下周有可能冲击40000。
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