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【Hot-hand Fallacy (热手谬误)原理】 当一个人在偶然的随机事件中获得成功,ta会认为自己在下一次尝试同样可以获得成功。运用场景:篮球赛场,当某个人连续命中投篮以后,他会觉得自己状态来了,接着继续出手。赌场,当一个人连续赢钱,他会认为自己时来运转,接下来肯定能够继续赢。 So,我们的感知和判断可能会被虚假的信号所蒙蔽,这个世界上并没有什么“hot-hand",完全是随机+运气使然

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🤔有道理

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