本周，美元兑G10货币有望升值，因为最近几天出现了某种避险情绪，使股票和风险敏感型资产难以上涨。欧美政策制定者对降息的抵制以及令人失望的中国数据抑制了全球热情。数据方面，纽约帝国制造业指数跌至2020年5月以来的最低水平，也是有记录以来的第二低水平，从-14.5降至-43.7。自大流行以来，基于情绪的调查数据的波动性大大增加，因此市场主要忽略了该数据点。然而，纽约指数增加了一系列领先指标，表明 2024 年 GDP 存在下行风险。
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