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【黄金策略】 银行股营收衰退 美股依旧稳健 【基本面分析】 继 CPI、PPI 释出通胀降温的正面信号后,市场认为美联储三月降息的概率也 自一周前的 68%升至 79.4%,进而对股市带来支撑;而就后市来看,除了美联 储货币政策的动向之外,上周财报季也拉开序幕,尽管富国、花旗等银行财报 表现不佳,摩根大通 Q4 净利年减 15%,但其年利润依旧超越美国银行史上所 有银行,叠加消费与就业状况稳健,美国离经济衰退仍有较远距离,故建议维 持看多。 【技术分析】 黄金四小时图,走势破底后收长下影线,结合多次探底未见跌势延续,且走势 站上均线,或暗示卖压减轻;如后续回落未见跌破支撑,则有利形成反弹格 局,故建议激进者短多操作。 【操作建议】建议 2053 短多,止损 2042 以下,目标 2064-2072。

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